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Royals Review

1/27 Royals News: Spring Training Invites, Frank White Moves On, Francoeur and Ryan Lef.

Also, lots of good baseball discussion, including Lookout Landing with a look at a failed prospect, Braves and Marlns talk, and a look at the White Sox farm system.

Royals:

Baseball:

Star-divide

  • BaseballAmerica.com: Prospects: Chat: Prospect Chat: Jan. 26
  • The Marlins' Home-Run Feature: A Sense Of Scale - Baseball Nation
  • Is Tim Lincecum Taking a Big Risk? | FanGraphs Baseball
  • Grab Bag:

    0 recs  |  83 comments

    Comments

    it could also mean that your police system is the most effective?
    The Mariners/Andersen article about a failed pitching prospect was interesting but not really informative

    It was 1997, so TINSTAAPP was not widely known, and I would think the risk inherent in young pitchers was underestimated and expectations correspondingly elevated. But that’s not really groundbreaking. Pitching prospects get injured, and sometimes that ruins their career.

    Good reminder, though, that the only way to consistently generate successful pitchers from the farm is by strength in numbers.

    Along the lines of that Braves article

    Olney’s new Insider piece suggests the new CBA didn’t do as much to help small and mid market clubs as you might think and there is about to be a huge gulf again because of some mammoth TV deals for certain markets.

    And what is interesting

    Is what will hurt small market clubs isn’t that the Yanks and Red Sox are spending five times what the Royals and Pirates are, its that there will be many more Yanks and Red Sox, or at least junior versions – the Rangers, Dodgers, Angels and Mariners, possibly more (Nats? Marlins?)

    Did anyone think that the CBA helped small market teams

    or did anything to address the disparity between richer and poorer teams?

    I thought there were some reports of more revenue sharing

    And the penalties for exceeding the luxury tax are much stiffer now – many people are attributing the Red Sox lack of movement (and the fact they actually had a salary dump of Scutaro) as evidence of that.

    Yes, that’s true about the luxury tax, but I wonder how much that will hamper the large market teams (like the top 10) over the term of this CBA. I didn’t read about more revenue sharing, but I sure hope that is part of the CBA and that it is significant.

    From what I read, a lot of the motivation was about putting the luxury tax in place

    rather than having a large effect initially. Once the luxury tax has become the “standard” then it can be raised/lowered as the league sees fit. So, in the sense that the luxury tax exists (contrasted against not having one at all), that is a good thing.

    I believe the draft changes will be (or are at least an attempt to be) beneficial to the mid and small market teams. The slotting preempts the eventual outcome of big-market teams owning the draft just like they own free agency. It already existed to an extent and was only going to get worse. I also think laying the groundwork for an international draft will be a good thing in the long run as well.

    The luxury tax rate doesn't help with revenue sharing

    Money in that department goes to the MLB general fund. The luxury tax really isn’t that big of a deal anyway. The Yankees had a 201M payroll this season, and all the tax did was make the payroll 210M.

    Right, but it serves as a drag on salaries

    At least in theory.

    With these new TV contracts.

    I don’t see 10M a year being that big of a deterrent for the high revenue teams. I get why it is there, but I don’t think it is a harsh enough. The players probably don’t want the luxury tax because it would drive down salaries potentially, so it is likely never going to get much higher.

    And the larger market teams don't want to share significantly more revenue

    So that’s not likely to happen either.

    So in order for the Royals to succeed, they are going to need an excellent front office.

    Or one of these two as commissioner


    When I was last in Corpus Christi,

    Billie Jean was in my heart.

    Is that Tank Girl?
    The Legend of Billie Jean

    starred Helen Slater with the unrelated Christian Slater playing her brother and Keith Gordon as a nerdy weird rich kid who befriended them.

    You might recognize Helen Slater from her work as Supergirl or in The Secret of My Success or even more recently in The Lying Game on ABC Family.

    There is speculation the penalty is much higher than that

    No one seems to know for sure, but there has to be a reason why the Yanks and Red Sox seem determined to get under the limit by 2013.

    Here’s a conversation on the possibility:

    http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/sox_therapy/discussion/youre_telling_me_theres_a_salary_cap_in_the_new_cba

    It’s hard to get a good estimate of how much the Red Sox receive in initial revenue sharing, but according to Maury Brown writing at BA, revenue sharing re-distributed $433M from big-market teams to small-market teams in 2009. Gasper explains that revenue sharing works by pooling a share of all clubs’ local revenue and then dividing it evenly, so if $433M is being re-distributed, then the total payouts to all clubs must be larger than $433M. That gives us, at least, a hard floor – initial revenue sharing receipts are at minimum $15M for each club. Being even a single dollar over the luxury tax threshold would cost a team more than $15M in revenue, probably much more. That would function as a de facto hard cap, an effective fine of tens of millions of dollars for any team with a payroll over the luxury tax threshold.
    The Red Sox do seem concerned about it.

    So maybe it is harder than in the past. The money still won’t go to the Royals, but to guys like Keith Lockhart and Ron Karkovice. Guys like that want the spending to go up, up, and away.

    Those single-season HR records

    are depressing.

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